0x50642b28be893e8752649e9ae6d687558fc5dcfeeecd10713cf59ef6ea0edce4
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?” trades at 32% YES on Polymarket with $90.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 31.5% · CLOB volume $90.8k · whales 24h net $5.6k (35 wallets) · 7d net $18.1k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
31.5%
Yes
Implied No
68.5%
No
Volume
$90.8k
CLOB
Traders
237
1,528 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
32.0% → 32.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$5.6k
Buy
$13.9k
Sell
$8.3k
Whales
35
Last 7 days
Net flow
$18.1k
Buy
$39.9k
Sell
$21.8k
Whales
86
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe033…40a5 | $20.8k | $8.1k | $12.7k | $4.6k |
| 0x014c…820c | $12.8k | $7.1k | $5.6k | $-1.5k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $6.0k | $3.8k | $2.1k | $-1.7k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $5.6k | $4.4k | $1.2k | $-3.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 90 | $21.6k | $-666 | 2 |
| 0xe033…40a5 | 95 | $20.8k | $4.6k | 1 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 221 | $19.0k | $-11.2k | 5 |
| 0x014c…820c | 58 | $16.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $78.5k
64.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $90.8k
31.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $44.3k
1.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $30.7k
1.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $33.8k
0.8%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $5.1k | $5.1k | $0 | $-5.1k |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | $4.8k | $1.3k | $3.5k | $2.2k |
| 0xc684…2228 | $4.6k | $1.7k | $2.9k | $1.2k |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6 | $4.0k | $4.0k | $0 | $-4.0k |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $2.7k | $1.7k | $1.0k | $-636 |
| 0x976a…e8ec | $2.6k | $1.0k | $1.6k | $577 |
| 0xe102…71df | $2.6k | $1.6k | $965 | $-635 |
| 0xcf43…b321 | $2.5k | $1.2k | $1.2k | $-3 |
| $-3.4k |
| 3 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 121 | $12.8k | $-8.0k | 5 |
| 0x368c…9f72 | 58 | $11.5k | $-5.1k | 1 |
| 0x0380…073d | 150 | $11.3k | $-6.1k | 5 |
| 0xcf43…b321 | 213 | $9.7k | $-6.0k | 5 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 173 | $9.1k | $-9.1k | 5 |
| 0x8735…46e5 | 32 | $7.8k | $7.5k | 1 |
