0xfd0fb47daa40f79ed1bd8a0645d028c4583391b70860e4447f93b3b9fe797865
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $33.8k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 0.8% · CLOB volume $33.8k · whales 24h net $2.3k (13 wallets) · 7d net $10.1k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
0.8%
Yes
Implied No
99.3%
No
Volume
$33.8k
CLOB
Traders
121
648 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
0.8% → 0.7% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.3k
Buy
$2.3k
Sell
$18
Whales
13
Last 7 days
Net flow
$10.1k
Buy
$14.9k
Sell
$4.8k
Whales
56
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcdb1…276c | $3.1k | $3.1k | $46 | $-3.0k |
| 0x0380…073d | $3.0k | $2.3k | $705 | $-1.6k |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $2.7k | $2.5k | $182 | $-2.4k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $2.6k | $2.4k | $153 | $-2.3k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e3e…f882 | 90 | $21.6k | $-666 | 2 |
| 0xe033…40a5 | 95 | $20.8k | $4.6k | 1 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 221 | $19.0k | $-11.2k | 5 |
| 0x014c…820c | 58 | $16.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 5 total · Event board
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $78.5k
64.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $90.8k
31.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $44.3k
1.5%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $30.7k
1.5%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
open · $33.8k
0.8%
| 0xcf43…b321 | $2.3k | $1.9k | $396 | $-1.5k |
| 0xcaab…24dd | $2.1k | $2.1k | $35 | $-2.1k |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | $2.1k | $1.1k | $948 | $-170 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | $1.7k | $1.0k | $713 | $-302 |
| 0x3844…7285 | $1.5k | $18 | $1.4k | $1.4k |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | $1.3k | $921 | $345 | $-576 |
| 0x090a…0fa6 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $78 | $-992 |
| 0x40b5…6b5f | $976 | $15 | $961 | $946 |
| $-3.4k |
| 3 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 121 | $12.8k | $-8.0k | 5 |
| 0x368c…9f72 | 58 | $11.5k | $-5.1k | 1 |
| 0x0380…073d | 150 | $11.3k | $-6.1k | 5 |
| 0xcf43…b321 | 213 | $9.7k | $-6.0k | 5 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 173 | $9.1k | $-9.1k | 5 |
| 0x8735…46e5 | 32 | $7.8k | $7.5k | 1 |
