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Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionActive 152 days left

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

0x694595d0a008f10e4701285d071e4b08407495f6f8a6bd8cbdd7de522fa9b463

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 39.0% · CLOB volume $1.22M · whales 24h net $853 (16 wallets) · 7d net $20.5k · 2/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

39.0%

Yes

Implied No

61.0%

Volume

$1.22M

CLOB

Traders

1,699

15,194 trades

Yes 39.0%No 61.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$853

Buy

$1.5k

Sell

$649

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$20.5k

Buy

$47.9k

Sell

$27.4k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($853)
•7d whale net still positive ($20.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 39.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 02:00:11

61.1¢$62

YESBUY2026-08-02 02:00:11

38.9¢$39

NOBUY2026-08-02 01:59:51

61.1¢$68

YESBUY2026-08-02 01:59:51

38.9¢$43

YESBUY2026-08-02 01:59:14

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x1fee…ed5e	$80.3k	$60.7k	$19.6k	$-41.1k
0x4366…c73e	$28.4k	$10.8k	$17.6k	$6.8k
0x1c14…0869	$23.1k	$9.6k	$13.5k	$4.0k
0x54b5…4b31	$22.0k	$15.8k	$6.2k	$-9.5k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x8457…87fd	30	$402.8k	$202	1
0xa022…77f8	30	$244.6k	$-244.6k	1
0x97a9…6d5e	67	$189.7k	$187.0k	2
0x1fee…ed5e	319	$129.0k

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