Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

0x6dd7680c4606a46e08df25bca6c4318b1bc30c9f4306a5ab8e79932c9e2147d8

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $36.7k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 2/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$36.7k

CLOB

Traders

121

645 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($36.7k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-09 08:41:20

100000.0¢$121

—BUY2026-07-09 08:41:20

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-09 07:59:22

100000.0¢$101

—BUY2026-07-09 07:59:22

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-07-09 07:59:22

0.1¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x0873…09e8	$4.2k	$4.2k	$4	$-4.2k
0x0380…073d	$2.5k	$2.5k	$3	$-2.5k
0x4f1d…8de2	$1.1k	$1.1k	$1	$-1.1k
0xd23f…94a1	$846	$845	$1	$-844

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x0873…09e8	453	$29.4k	$-29.4k	6
0x0380…073d	245	$18.4k	$-15.5k	8
0x2b9d…adc0	71	$16.4k	$-1.6k	2
0x6640…2202	34	$10.0k

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