Will BSW win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

0x8d876bd73886127ad311a3ca4cbf805e3073c6cebd30adb510a80d189f7c1b7b

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $1.4k · whales 24h net $183 (3 wallets) · 7d net $183 · 7/7 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.3%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$1.4k

CLOB

Traders

136 trades

Yes 0.3%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$183

Buy

$184

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$183

Buy

$184

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($183)
•7d whale net still positive ($183)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($1.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

8 shown

NOBUY2026-08-04 12:23:18

99.8¢$133

—BUY2026-08-04 12:23:18

0.2¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-04 12:23:18

99.8¢$249

—BUY2026-08-04 12:23:18

0.2¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-04 12:23:18

99.8¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xd23f…94a1	$250	$249	$1	$-249
0xfe2d…da35	$133	$133	$0	$-132
0xc518…2594	$50	$50	$0	$-50
0xdb24…496b	$50	$50	$0	$-50

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe52c…6924	14	$21.4k	$-20.2k	1
0x8190…b247	89	$12.7k	$-10.6k	3
0x3eae…e2ed	6	$9.6k	$-7.5k	1
0x1e5b…9ad2	4	$5.5k

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