Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election?

0xa0ad2be00fb7b8a38d00a2a0899d0f5e2a4ac757551659c72c07f518c010898c

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $1.6k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $265 · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.3%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$1.6k

CLOB

Traders

112 trades

Yes 0.3%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$265

Buy

$266

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($265)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($1.6k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

82 shown

NOBUY2026-08-02 23:05:41

99.8¢$118

—BUY2026-08-02 23:05:41

0.1¢$0

—BUY2026-08-02 23:05:41

0.2¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-02 23:05:30

99.8¢$32

—BUY2026-08-02 23:05:30

0.2¢

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xc518…2594	$182	$182	$0	$-181
0x8373…f0bc	$118	$118	$0	$-118
0x12fd…c776	$69	$46	$23	$-23
0x090a…0fa6	$67	$66	$0	$-66

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xe7fe…24e5	44	$3.1k	$-480	2
0x45ac…d2bb	19	$1.3k	$-570	2
0xc8ab…6418	50	$1.2k	$-1.2k	2
0xbd14…76b4	17	$1.1k

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