0xa5d79e71e66c9fe122f8b8b3ca6ab7a0e3048bd8508f130746944e92ed79ddf3
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?” trades at 94% YES on Polymarket with $2.03M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 94.3% · CLOB volume $2.03M · whales 24h net $2.6k (30 wallets) · 7d net $19.3k · 2/23 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
94.3%
Yes
Implied No
5.7%
No
Volume
$2.03M
CLOB
Traders
3,838
33,539 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
94.4% → 94.5% (+0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.6k
Buy
$4.5k
Sell
$2.0k
Whales
30
Last 7 days
Net flow
$19.3k
Buy
$107.8k
Sell
$88.5k
Whales
96
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x41b4…dad2 | $120.3k | $7.6k | $112.7k | $105.1k |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | $38.9k | $25.2k | $13.7k | $-11.5k |
| 0xfaf6…cc47 | $30.1k | $30.1k | $0 | $-30.1k |
| 0xa2b4…3daa | $27.2k | $14.1k | $13.1k | $-939 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x41b4…dad2 | 595 | $272.2k | $238.3k | 2 |
| 0x052f…53fb | 10 | $65.8k | $-65.8k | 2 |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | 82 | $62.2k | $-26.7k | 2 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 262 | $45.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 23 total · Event board
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $2.03M
94.3%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $2.85M
5.3%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $4.79M
0.1%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $2.00M
0.1%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.95M
0.1%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.83M
0.1%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.80M
0.1%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.78M
0.1%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.77M
0.1%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.75M
0.1%
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.62M
0.1%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.56M
0.1%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.55M
0.1%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.50M
0.1%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.43M
0.1%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.43M
0.1%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.40M
0.1%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.37M
0.1%
| 0x122c…fbed | $27.1k | $13.6k | $13.4k | $-175 |
| 0x44a0…c3b9 | $21.4k | $12.1k | $9.3k | $-2.9k |
| 0x052f…53fb | $20.7k | $20.7k | $0 | $-20.7k |
| 0x9c26…74bc | $20.2k | $19.4k | $820 | $-18.6k |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | $17.9k | $10.8k | $7.1k | $-3.8k |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $17.4k | $15.6k | $1.9k | $-13.7k |
| 0xeb6f…25f0 | $10.7k | $10.6k | $105 | $-10.5k |
| 0x997d…5d15 | $9.4k | $9.3k | $158 | $-9.1k |
| $-709 |
| 2 |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | 331 | $30.4k | $-7.0k | 2 |
| 0xfaf6…cc47 | 2 | $30.1k | $-30.1k | 1 |
| 0x44a0…c3b9 | 98 | $28.1k | $-9.5k | 2 |
| 0xa2b4…3daa | 48 | $27.2k | $-939 | 1 |
| 0x9c26…74bc | 23 | $20.2k | $-18.6k | 1 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 45 | $19.8k | $-19.8k | 14 |
