0x119b6b3b744ac3239c7a71100165d254234eaecea401abde5a3d303bef21d19e
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $2.85M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.3% · CLOB volume $2.85M · whales 24h net $7.6k (41 wallets) · 7d net $25.6k · 2/23 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.3%
Yes
Implied No
94.7%
No
Volume
$2.85M
CLOB
Traders
4,328
56,925 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
5.4% → 5.3% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$7.6k
Buy
$38.1k
Sell
$30.6k
Whales
41
Last 7 days
Net flow
$25.6k
Buy
$111.2k
Sell
$85.6k
Whales
103
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x41b4…dad2 | $151.8k | $9.3k | $142.5k | $133.2k |
| 0x052f…53fb | $45.1k | $45.1k | $0 | $-45.1k |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | $23.2k | $19.2k | $4.0k | $-15.2k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $18.1k | $9.3k | $8.8k | $-535 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x41b4…dad2 | 595 | $272.2k | $238.3k | 2 |
| 0x052f…53fb | 10 | $65.8k | $-65.8k | 2 |
| 0xdf70…5e92 | 82 | $62.2k | $-26.7k | 2 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 262 | $45.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 23 total · Event board
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $2.03M
94.3%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
open · $2.85M
5.3%
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $4.79M
0.1%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $2.00M
0.1%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.95M
0.1%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.83M
0.1%
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.80M
0.1%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.78M
0.1%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.77M
0.1%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.75M
0.1%
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.62M
0.1%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.57M
0.1%
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.56M
0.1%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.55M
0.1%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.50M
0.1%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.43M
0.1%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.43M
0.1%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.40M
0.1%
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
closed · $1.37M
0.1%
| 0xefac…c9a1 | $12.5k | $7.9k | $4.6k | $-3.2k |
| 0x152f…a549 | $10.7k | $600 | $10.1k | $9.5k |
| 0x997d…5d15 | $9.3k | $9.3k | $0 | $-9.3k |
| 0xeb6f…25f0 | $8.2k | $7.7k | $560 | $-7.1k |
| 0xf658…dcfe | $7.6k | $4.7k | $2.9k | $-1.8k |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $7.6k | $7.5k | $123 | $-7.3k |
| 0x8b01…24a9 | $7.4k | $7.4k | $0 | $-7.4k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $7.1k | $7.1k | $0 | $-7.1k |
| $-709 |
| 2 |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | 331 | $30.4k | $-7.0k | 2 |
| 0xfaf6…cc47 | 2 | $30.1k | $-30.1k | 1 |
| 0x44a0…c3b9 | 98 | $28.1k | $-9.5k | 2 |
| 0xa2b4…3daa | 48 | $27.2k | $-939 | 1 |
| 0x9c26…74bc | 23 | $20.2k | $-18.6k | 1 |
| 0xb36b…7804 | 45 | $19.8k | $-19.8k | 14 |
