0xa9edbe15ac8e3cf7cb204191e8ada8fe44963c94df2f40c9e4da3988d35cb9a1
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $4.3k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 4.1% · CLOB volume $4.3k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $5 · 36/37 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.1%
Yes
Implied No
95.9%
No
Volume
$4.3k
CLOB
Traders
84
307 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$5
Buy
$101
Sell
$96
Whales
3
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd12f…e85a | $311 | $203 | $108 | $-95 |
| 0x66a1…80d9 | $214 | $118 | $96 | $-22 |
| 0x0dde…94c3 | $212 | $200 | $12 | $-188 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $108 | $108 | $0 | $-108 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3ed6…1ba2 | 75 | $59.0k | $-53.1k | 1 |
| 0x8f7b…2a5f | 86 | $41.1k | $28.1k | 1 |
| 0xe947…ab96 | 167 | $32.0k | $-23.2k | 18 |
| 0x0dde…94c3 | 388 | $23.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
36 open · 37 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $15.6k
91.0%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $5.0k
50.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $16.5k
42.5%
Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
closed · $112
32.5%
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $132.0k
15.3%
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.3k
6.8%
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $3.6k
6.5%
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $12.7k
6.3%
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.3k
6.3%
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $6.3k
5.2%
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.4k
5.1%
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $23.5k
5.0%
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.9k
5.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.1k
5.0%
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $5.9k
4.7%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $6.0k
4.5%
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.1k
4.4%
Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $731
4.4%
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.3k
4.1%
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.8k
4.1%
| 0xa815…9cbe | $105 | $4 | $101 | $97 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $96 | $96 | $0 | $-96 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $83 | $80 | $2 | $-78 |
| 0x5c91…5ccc | $63 | $61 | $2 | $-59 |
| 0xceed…6d15 | $44 | $41 | $2 | $-39 |
| 0x758d…5d9e | $38 | $19 | $19 | $-0 |
| 0xcd61…0002 | $27 | $25 | $1 | $-24 |
| 0xe26c…48f5 | $20 | $20 | $0 | $-20 |
| $-16.4k |
| 15 |
| 0x970a…7016 | 30 | $14.0k | $8.0k | 1 |
| 0x66a1…80d9 | 688 | $10.5k | $-1.7k | 30 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 381 | $9.7k | $-4.4k | 26 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | 125 | $9.5k | $-2.9k | 11 |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | 167 | $7.6k | $-2.6k | 13 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 116 | $6.7k | $-6.7k | 16 |
