Multi-outcome · 36 open · 1 closed hidden

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Volume $96.8kTraders 399Trades 4,879

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $7.6k
84.5%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.5k
40.0%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $3.2k
38.5%
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.2k
10.5%
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.5k
10.5%
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $17.4k
8.0%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $638
5.5%
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.0k
4.8%
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.1k
4.5%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $251
4.5%
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.1k
4.0%
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $96
3.5%
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $129
3.4%
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $58
3.4%
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.8k
3.3%
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $829
3.3%
Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $631
3.2%
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.3k
2.7%
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.0k
2.7%
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $12
2.5%
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $3.2k
2.5%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $604
2.3%
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.7k
2.3%
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $981
2.3%
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.6k
2.1%
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.8k
2.1%
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.7k
1.8%
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.1k
1.5%
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.9k
1.1%
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.5k
1.1%
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.1k
1.0%
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.2k
0.9%
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.5k
0.8%
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $1.3k
0.8%
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.8k
0.7%

Probability ladder · open only

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