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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Active 112 days left

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

0xaece8d6062d3e3eb9845b32441a4ab06eb2ef332c0228bc6a36add450647c7c4

As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?” trades at 0% YES on Polymarket with $2.70M total volume.

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $2.70M · whales 24h net $1.6k (40 wallets) · 7d net $45.1k · 6/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.3%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$2.70M

CLOB

Traders

2,736

49,861 trades

Yes 0.3%No 99.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Yes odds · 24h

0.2% → 0.2% (+0.0pp)

Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$1.6k

Buy

$45.2k

Sell

$43.7k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$45.1k

Buy

$92.1k

Sell

$47.0k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1.6k)
•7d whale net still positive ($45.1k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-09-10 20:05:18

100.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-09-10 20:05:18

33333.3¢$0

NOBUY2026-09-10 19:21:30

100.3¢$2

NOBUY2026-09-10 19:21:30

33333.3¢$2

NOBUY2026-09-10 19:21:07

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xfac1…4915	$89.9k	$89.6k	$385	$-89.2k
0xb5a0…60c3	$77.3k	$264	$77.0k	$76.8k
0x1958…310b	$62.8k	$317	$62.5k	$62.2k
0x8f41…260e	$48.1k	$47.1k	$931	$-46.2k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb5a0…60c3	394	$537.6k	$535.2k	6
0x13fa…954c	4,070	$421.6k	$-299.5k	9
0xc21e…0215	11,793	$374.0k	$-374.0k	8
0x1958…310b	647	$349.9k

Dig deeper with Polydata

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