0xd20716f5bb8a6a33053a4165eac20d8fb4e4abe53c3554a2cbdfd77814196a28
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?” trades at 24% YES on Polymarket with $2.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 23.5% · CLOB volume $2.1k · whales 24h net $3 (2 wallets) · 7d net $329 · 6/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
23.5%
Yes
Implied No
76.5%
No
Volume
$2.1k
CLOB
Traders
14
30 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3
Buy
$5
Sell
$2
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$329
Buy
$587
Sell
$257
Whales
14
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7f15…52f1 | $183 | $98 | $85 | $-13 |
| 0xc5a9…0c9a | $147 | $78 | $69 | $-9 |
| 0x21d0…ce91 | $100 | $75 | $25 | $-50 |
| 0xa7d2…f954 | $83 | $83 | $0 | $-83 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x7f15…52f1 | 20 | $1.0k | $-476 | 3 |
| 0xa7d2…f954 | 17 | $379 | $-134 | 3 |
| 0xa2f7…10d3 | 7 | $345 | $-255 | 1 |
| 0xb220…5f71 | 14 | $328 |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
6 open · 6 total · Event board
Will a 6.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?
open · $2.3k
98.7%
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?
open · $2.6k
57.5%
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?
open · $2.1k
23.5%
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?
open · $4.0k
9.0%
Will a 8.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?
open · $407
1.9%
Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?
open · $216
0.8%
| 0xad53…ef24 | $61 | $37 | $24 | $-12 |
| 0xf08c…3295 | $50 | $50 | $0 | $-50 |
| 0x98a8…a47b | $49 | $25 | $25 | $-0 |
| 0x69b3…14f8 | $40 | $20 | $20 | $0 |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4 | $40 | $40 | $0 | $-40 |
| 0x8765…ed81 | $36 | $36 | $0 | $-36 |
| 0xea7f…b855 | $26 | $21 | $5 | $-16 |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | $20 | $15 | $5 | $-11 |
| $-302 |
| 2 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 17 | $244 | $-244 | 3 |
| 0x21d0…ce91 | 16 | $236 | $-130 | 3 |
| 0xd7f1…73cd | 13 | $214 | $131 | 1 |
| 0x6e81…8563 | 20 | $209 | $-189 | 1 |
| 0x3089…92f6 | 3 | $180 | $-140 | 1 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 10 | $176 | $-43 | 2 |
