0xe83e55ee7c9cfda40e828fd11aef8b0261773a49553827376d3aac63b28d88dd
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?” trades at 7% YES on Polymarket with $17.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 7.0% · CLOB volume $17.5k · whales 24h net $6 (2 wallets) · 7d net $117 · 2/2 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
7.0%
Yes
Implied No
93.0%
No
Volume
$17.5k
CLOB
Traders
115
445 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
8.0% → 8.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$6
Buy
$80
Sell
$74
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$117
Buy
$744
Sell
$627
Whales
11
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6d57…bfc5 | $4.9k | $4.6k | $369 | $-4.2k |
| 0x33c4…8ba3 | $2.3k | $1.8k | $445 | $-1.4k |
| 0x321e…9292 | $999 | $883 | $116 | $-766 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $946 | $946 | $0 | $-946 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6d57…bfc5 | 79 | $5.3k | $-4.5k | 2 |
| 0x33c4…8ba3 | 34 | $2.4k | $-1.4k | 2 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 17 | $1.1k | $-1.1k | 2 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 20 | $1.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 2 total
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?
open · $8.7k
93.5%
Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?
open · $17.5k
7.0%
| 0x2a72…a2ab | $833 | $797 | $36 | $-761 |
| 0x7272…1a25 | $640 | $91 | $549 | $458 |
| 0xefac…c9a1 | $514 | $30 | $484 | $454 |
| 0x460a…d738 | $482 | $35 | $447 | $412 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | $431 | $411 | $19 | $-392 |
| 0xda00…61b4 | $430 | $288 | $142 | $-146 |
| 0xac6d…0fcb | $425 | $278 | $147 | $-132 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $400 | $270 | $130 | $-141 |
| $-807 |
| 2 |
| 0x2a72…a2ab | 8 | $833 | $-761 | 1 |
| 0x460a…d738 | 50 | $768 | $661 | 2 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | 16 | $693 | $-650 | 2 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | 15 | $659 | $-322 | 2 |
| 0x7272…1a25 | 10 | $640 | $458 | 1 |
| 0x9fd4…325c | 11 | $584 | $-428 | 1 |
