Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?

0xf479f3e8d1ee87a98a5ef7a8d0e00f55bd5bc6f52b4c02136f3858ddc0010c7e

Resolved market

Market closed / resolved · winner Yes · final Yes 100.0% · CLOB volume $87.1k · 0/4 related markets still open.

Implied Yes

100.0%

Yes

Implied No

0.0%

Volume

$87.1k

CLOB

Traders

168

874 trades

Yes 100.0%No 0.0%

Settled market price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$2.1k

Buy

$4.7k

Sell

$2.6k

Whales

Bull case

•Resolved — winner Yes
•Final Yes 100.0%

Bear case

•No new risk — book not accepting orders
•Entire event slate is closed
•Use for historical tape / whale context only

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-28 18:17:29

99.9¢$1.5k

NOBUY2026-07-28 18:17:29

100.1¢$1.5k

—BUY2026-07-28 18:17:29

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-28 18:16:19

99.9¢$50

—BUY2026-07-28 18:16:19

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xeb77…4e6b	$25.1k	$18.7k	$6.4k	$-12.3k
0x876b…1703	$17.2k	$11.5k	$5.7k	$-5.7k
0xb64f…dc88	$15.4k	$5.6k	$9.8k	$4.1k
0x477a…2d8e	$9.3k	$5.9k	$3.4k	$-2.4k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xeb77…4e6b	45	$25.1k	$-12.3k	1
0xb64f…dc88	31	$21.7k	$456	2
0x876b…1703	70	$17.2k	$-5.7k	1
0x477a…2d8e	81	$12.7k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API