0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $2.55M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 3.9% · CLOB volume $2.55M · whales 24h net $2.0k (14 wallets) · 7d net $8.3k · 1/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
3.9%
Yes
Implied No
96.2%
No
Volume
$2.55M
CLOB
Traders
2,071
17,832 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
4.3% → 3.5% (-0.8pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.0k
Buy
$2.5k
Sell
$523
Whales
14
Last 7 days
Net flow
$8.3k
Buy
$11.7k
Sell
$3.4k
Whales
38
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3c59…1766 | $135.2k | $58.6k | $76.6k | $17.9k |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | $84.6k | $77.0k | $7.6k | $-69.4k |
| 0xbaa2…2c73 | $41.6k | $41.6k | $0 | $-41.6k |
| 0xf724…85cc | $32.4k | $1.8k | $30.5k | $28.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3c59…1766 | 140 | $135.2k | $17.9k | 1 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 208 | $84.6k | $-69.4k | 1 |
| 0xbaa2…2c73 | 26 | $41.6k | $-41.6k | 1 |
| 0xf724…85cc | 24 | $32.4k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 6 total · Event board
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
open · $2.55M
3.9%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
closed · $8.55M
0.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
closed · $6.62M
0.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
closed · $1.81M
0.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
closed · $547.3k
0.0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
closed · $451.4k
0.0%
| 0x6d9f…9790 | $28.9k | $24.0k | $4.9k | $-19.1k |
| 0xc9dc…9026 | $26.3k | $21.9k | $4.4k | $-17.4k |
| 0xf5c8…430c | $25.3k | $12.5k | $12.8k | $245 |
| 0xdc4b…dbca | $17.8k | $14.7k | $3.1k | $-11.6k |
| 0x8afa…adb6 | $17.0k | $16.9k | $62 | $-16.8k |
| 0xd75a…fdec | $14.5k | $5.8k | $8.7k | $2.9k |
| 0x24c8…23e1 | $14.1k | $1.7k | $12.4k | $10.7k |
| 0x8476…5418 | $12.1k | $6.2k | $5.9k | $-309 |
| $28.7k |
| 1 |
| 0x6d9f…9790 | 23 | $28.9k | $-19.1k | 1 |
| 0xc9dc…9026 | 53 | $26.3k | $-17.4k | 1 |
| 0xf5c8…430c | 31 | $25.3k | $245 | 1 |
| 0xdc4b…dbca | 26 | $17.8k | $-11.6k | 1 |
| 0x8afa…adb6 | 83 | $17.0k | $-16.8k | 1 |
| 0xd75a…fdec | 85 | $14.5k | $2.9k | 1 |
