Multi-outcome · 5 open
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
open · $9.6k
94.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
open · $11.4k
80.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
open · $16.6k
53.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?
open · $13.8k
49.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
open · $19.9k
8.0%
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