Multi-outcome · 17 open

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Volume $64.3kTraders 268Trades 3,944

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.6k
99.7%
Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.9k
93.5%
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.3k
91.5%
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.1k
82.0%
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.8k
80.5%
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.4k
77.5%
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.2k
56.0%
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.6k
50.5%
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.2k
35.5%
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.2k
18.5%
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.9k
15.5%
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $11.5k
13.0%
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $650
8.8%
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.5k
8.0%
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $519
7.5%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $407
6.8%
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.3k
2.3%

Probability ladder · open only

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