0x63d0c3ecb5702e48ed7c1b723411df7f9cce56161d8e5d0ae1b6aaaefee9ae30
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?” trades at 94% YES on Polymarket with $4.9k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 93.5% · CLOB volume $4.9k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $195 · 17/17 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
93.5%
Yes
Implied No
6.5%
No
Volume
$4.9k
CLOB
Traders
49
160 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$195
Buy
$370
Sell
$175
Whales
10
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5481…554f | $3.4k | $2.1k | $1.3k | $-858 |
| 0x47ab…95df | $982 | $982 | $0 | $-982 |
| 0x1f9e…4f1a | $874 | $479 | $395 | $-85 |
| 0x6837…15e1 | $600 | $294 | $305 | $11 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5481…554f | 41 | $4.8k | $-1.4k | 3 |
| 0x2a01…6397 | 59 | $4.3k | $-3.7k | 5 |
| 0x2a97…7cad | 273 | $4.1k | $2.1k | 9 |
| 0x8dd8…9a1c | 235 | $3.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
17 open · 17 total · Event board
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.6k
99.7%
Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.9k
93.5%
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.3k
91.5%
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.1k
82.0%
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.8k
80.5%
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.4k
77.5%
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.2k
56.0%
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.6k
50.5%
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.2k
35.5%
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.2k
18.5%
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.9k
15.5%
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $11.5k
13.0%
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $650
8.8%
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.5k
8.0%
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $519
7.5%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $407
6.8%
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.3k
2.3%
| 0xdff8…3c8b | $461 | $271 | $190 | $-82 |
| 0x7e35…1a6c | $415 | $269 | $146 | $-123 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $394 | $260 | $134 | $-126 |
| 0x52eb…67ac | $336 | $336 | $0 | $-336 |
| 0x167a…91d5 | $226 | $178 | $49 | $-129 |
| 0x7b25…e4be | $215 | $172 | $44 | $-128 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $199 | $199 | $0 | $-199 |
| 0xf25b…82d0 | $174 | $94 | $80 | $-14 |
| $-14 |
| 12 |
| 0xf294…7967 | 141 | $3.1k | $-1.8k | 4 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 146 | $3.0k | $-3.0k | 13 |
| 0x77a1…de3d | 53 | $2.8k | $-842 | 6 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | 223 | $2.7k | $-1.3k | 14 |
| 0x7b25…e4be | 264 | $2.5k | $-2.0k | 16 |
| 0x5c29…358e | 199 | $2.1k | $836 | 11 |
