0xf2b1aebff5f5a64ed52322fcac3cddb5766d23d836bbe73998bf069f4b8d2fe3
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?” trades at 16% YES on Polymarket with $1.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 15.5% · CLOB volume $1.9k · whales 24h net $3 (2 wallets) · 7d net $77 · 17/17 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
15.5%
Yes
Implied No
84.5%
No
Volume
$1.9k
CLOB
Traders
39
117 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3
Buy
$23
Sell
$20
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$77
Buy
$202
Sell
$125
Whales
5
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5481…554f | $800 | $500 | $300 | $-200 |
| 0x2a01…6397 | $270 | $270 | $0 | $-270 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $179 | $135 | $44 | $-92 |
| 0x5c29…358e | $166 | $23 | $143 | $120 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5481…554f | 41 | $4.8k | $-1.4k | 3 |
| 0x2a01…6397 | 59 | $4.3k | $-3.7k | 5 |
| 0x2a97…7cad | 273 | $4.1k | $2.1k | 9 |
| 0x8dd8…9a1c | 235 | $3.7k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
17 open · 17 total · Event board
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.6k
99.7%
Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.9k
93.5%
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.3k
91.5%
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.1k
82.0%
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.8k
80.5%
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.4k
77.5%
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.2k
56.0%
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.6k
50.5%
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.2k
35.5%
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.2k
18.5%
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $1.9k
15.5%
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $11.5k
13.0%
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $650
8.8%
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.5k
8.0%
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $519
7.5%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $407
6.8%
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.3k
2.3%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $116 | $116 | $0 | $-116 |
| 0xcceb…f030 | $115 | $106 | $9 | $-97 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $114 | $81 | $33 | $-49 |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4 | $104 | $70 | $34 | $-37 |
| 0x7b25…e4be | $101 | $92 | $9 | $-83 |
| 0x4e9e…6f3e | $78 | $28 | $50 | $22 |
| 0xa86f…022c | $70 | $55 | $15 | $-40 |
| 0xeded…04c1 | $62 | $22 | $40 | $18 |
| $-14 |
| 12 |
| 0xf294…7967 | 141 | $3.1k | $-1.8k | 4 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 146 | $3.0k | $-3.0k | 13 |
| 0x77a1…de3d | 53 | $2.8k | $-842 | 6 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | 223 | $2.7k | $-1.3k | 14 |
| 0x7b25…e4be | 264 | $2.5k | $-2.0k | 16 |
| 0x5c29…358e | 199 | $2.1k | $836 | 11 |
