Multi-outcome · 21 open · 20 closed hidden
Next French Presidential Election
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.66M
37.5%
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.70M
23.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.55M
12.5%
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.37M
7.5%
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.94M
5.7%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.35M
2.3%
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.21M
1.6%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.84M
1.6%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.32M
1.5%
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.50M
1.1%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $2.14M
0.9%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.94M
0.9%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
open · $1.76M
0.7%
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