Multi-outcome · 7 open · 2 closed hidden
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Volume $44.0kTraders 220Trades 2,302
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $14.1k
67.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $8.3k
23.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $11.3k
9.5%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $6.0k
2.1%
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