0x9f5001a1e6542f81fc296bfcf73764a1c7ab2767d8c036441ab222a01da585e9
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” trades at 24% YES on Polymarket with $8.3k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 23.5% · CLOB volume $8.3k · whales 24h net $620 (33 wallets) · 7d net $1.8k · 7/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
23.5%
Yes
Implied No
76.5%
No
Volume
$8.3k
CLOB
Traders
93
434 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
29.3% → 23.0% (-6.3pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$620
Buy
$1.7k
Sell
$1.1k
Whales
33
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.8k
Buy
$3.6k
Sell
$1.9k
Whales
49
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xf0ca…66ed | $2.3k | $443 | $1.8k | $1.4k |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $1.1k | $920 | $215 | $-704 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $1.1k | $730 | $343 | $-387 |
| 0x0380…073d | $567 | $349 | $218 | $-130 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb976…5876 | 55 | $3.3k | $-390 | 1 |
| 0xf0ca…66ed | 65 | $2.7k | $1.0k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 77 | $2.7k | $-522 | 2 |
| 0x0380…073d | 85 | $2.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 9 total · Event board
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $14.1k
67.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $8.3k
23.5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $11.3k
9.5%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $6.0k
2.1%
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.3k
0.3%
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.4k
0.2%
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.3k
0.1%
| 0xe917…9612 | $534 | $139 | $395 | $256 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $427 | $364 | $63 | $-302 |
| 0xca12…ea03 | $411 | $181 | $231 | $50 |
| 0xfd99…b908 | $364 | $263 | $101 | $-162 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $336 | $336 | $0 | $-336 |
| 0x9f20…12c3 | $307 | $190 | $116 | $-74 |
| 0x4959…a6f5 | $256 | $256 | $0 | $-256 |
| 0xea28…3a0b | $251 | $251 | $0 | $-251 |
| $-1.7k |
| 6 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 64 | $1.9k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 96 | $1.7k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 30 | $1.6k | $-1.1k | 5 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | 101 | $1.5k | $-1.1k | 9 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 46 | $1.5k | $-519 | 3 |
| 0xca12…ea03 | 41 | $1.2k | $26 | 3 |
