0xd3e48c21dfeeedf4ef53ce5a850223f851975a8766196696a07eef0ea68dabc8
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?” trades at 63% YES on Polymarket with $13.8k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 62.5% · CLOB volume $13.8k · whales 24h net $890 (30 wallets) · 7d net $3.3k · 7/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
62.5%
Yes
Implied No
37.5%
No
Volume
$13.8k
CLOB
Traders
132
598 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
65.0% → 61.0% (-4.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$890
Buy
$1.9k
Sell
$977
Whales
30
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.3k
Buy
$5.8k
Sell
$2.6k
Whales
59
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb976…5876 | $3.3k | $1.8k | $1.4k | $-390 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | $2.4k | $1.4k | $967 | $-426 |
| 0xed8b…7954 | $956 | $425 | $531 | $106 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $645 | $431 | $214 | $-217 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb976…5876 | 55 | $3.3k | $-390 | 1 |
| 0xf0ca…66ed | 65 | $2.7k | $1.0k | 3 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | 66 | $2.4k | $-435 | 2 |
| 0x0380…073d | 74 | $2.3k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
7 open · 9 total · Event board
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $13.8k
62.5%
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $8.1k
27.0%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $11.1k
11.0%
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $5.9k
2.1%
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.2k
0.3%
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $3.3k
0.2%
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
open · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.5k
0.1%
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
closed · $1.3k
0.1%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $605 | $605 | $0 | $-605 |
| 0x2106…4dea | $551 | $551 | $0 | $-551 |
| 0xdcc1…d076 | $512 | $377 | $135 | $-242 |
| 0x6284…ac6c | $487 | $300 | $187 | $-113 |
| 0xca12…ea03 | $377 | $209 | $168 | $-41 |
| 0x05f7…22bc | $355 | $245 | $111 | $-134 |
| 0x1583…bdde | $330 | $236 | $94 | $-141 |
| 0xea28…3a0b | $321 | $321 | $0 | $-321 |
| $-1.6k |
| 6 |
| 0xb0c8…fe7f | 64 | $1.9k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 96 | $1.7k | $-1.5k | 9 |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | 30 | $1.6k | $-1.1k | 5 |
| 0xf83e…4663 | 101 | $1.5k | $-1.1k | 9 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 46 | $1.5k | $-519 | 3 |
| 0xca12…ea03 | 41 | $1.2k | $26 | 3 |
