Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?

0x1e97a760229f1b1d9a1682d0f4d0c659cfb9e386baacc010f57f5f52be4dff95

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 50.5% · CLOB volume $15.8k · whales 24h net $197 (23 wallets) · 7d net $4.9k · 9/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

50.5%

Yes

Implied No

49.5%

Volume

$15.8k

CLOB

Traders

124

413 trades

Yes 50.5%No 49.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$197

Buy

$995

Sell

$798

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$4.9k

Buy

$8.8k

Sell

$3.9k

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 50.5%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($197)
•7d whale net still positive ($4.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($15.8k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-07-21 18:23:31

46.0¢$5

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:23:31

217.4¢$10

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:22:55

204.1¢$0

—BUY2026-07-21 18:22:55

49.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:09:30

208.3¢

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xc8ab…6418	245	$19.0k	$-18.2k	13
0x05df…882d	151	$17.5k	$-8.2k	3
0x44c1…ebc1	51	$15.5k	$-4.7k	2
0x6dc7…2ff6	90	$13.3k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows, Smart Score and live screens — free to explore. Alpha API for automation.

Explore traders View plans