Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?

0xa807e5a89d5371adc5b2d62310374dc1a58b34b28276f8d91108d419cee01b51

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 90.0% · CLOB volume $22.5k · whales 24h net $5.1k (57 wallets) · 7d net $5.9k · 9/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

90.0%

Yes

Implied No

10.0%

Volume

$22.5k

CLOB

Traders

109

448 trades

Yes 90.0%No 10.0%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$5.1k

Buy

$7.6k

Sell

$2.5k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$5.9k

Buy

$8.9k

Sell

$3.0k

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 90.0%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($5.1k)
•7d whale net still positive ($5.9k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($22.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:09:21

114.9¢$13

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:09:21

769.2¢$13

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:01:30

93.0¢$5

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:01:30

107.5¢$5

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:37:27

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xc8ab…6418	245	$19.0k	$-18.2k	13
0x05df…882d	151	$17.5k	$-8.2k	3
0x44c1…ebc1	51	$15.5k	$-4.7k	2
0x6dc7…2ff6	90	$13.3k

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