Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?

0xe50789ae873f89bf41daa5791bb6242d33c37466c7ab19ad8c6ec82633a3e6cf

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 66.0% · CLOB volume $14.8k · whales 24h net $426 (19 wallets) · 7d net $6.2k · 9/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

66.0%

Yes

Implied No

34.0%

Volume

$14.8k

CLOB

Traders

161

588 trades

Yes 66.0%No 34.0%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$426

Buy

$784

Sell

$358

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$6.2k

Buy

$10.6k

Sell

$4.4k

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 66.0%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($426)
•7d whale net still positive ($6.2k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($14.8k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:53:49

162.5¢$19

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:53:49

256.4¢$9

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:53:49

263.2¢$10

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:46:51

302.1¢$38

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:46:51

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xc8ab…6418	245	$19.0k	$-18.2k	13
0x05df…882d	151	$17.5k	$-8.2k	3
0x44c1…ebc1	51	$15.5k	$-4.7k	2
0x6dc7…2ff6	90	$13.3k

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