Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?

0x6f5b0c11d2ca15f24e8ec8da647fed7db927d1f5ea6f83b51054a032930f4b49

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 67.5% · CLOB volume $35.0k · whales 24h net $3.0k (32 wallets) · 7d net $11.8k · 9/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

67.5%

Yes

Implied No

32.5%

Volume

$35.0k

CLOB

Traders

276

1,206 trades

Yes 67.5%No 32.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$3.0k

Buy

$4.3k

Sell

$1.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$11.8k

Buy

$18.9k

Sell

$7.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 67.5%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($3.0k)
•7d whale net still positive ($11.8k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($35.0k) — wide moves possible
•Near expiry (1 day left)

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:00:33

149.3¢$4

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:00:33

67.0¢$3

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:00:24

69.0¢$70

YESBUY2026-07-21 18:00:24

30.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-21 18:00:24

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xc8ab…6418	245	$19.0k	$-18.2k	13
0x05df…882d	151	$17.5k	$-8.2k	3
0x44c1…ebc1	51	$15.5k	$-4.7k	2
0x6dc7…2ff6	90	$13.3k

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