Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?

0x73250e6360cdfda3f655298f3bce39ad820edeb2d9d340d765d3a0664310988f

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 32.5% · CLOB volume $17.2k · whales 24h net $147 (2 wallets) · 7d net $147 · 9/13 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

32.5%

Yes

Implied No

67.5%

Volume

$17.2k

CLOB

Traders

2 trades

Yes 32.5%No 67.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$147

Buy

$194

Sell

$47

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$147

Buy

$194

Sell

$47

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($147)
•7d whale net still positive ($147)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 32.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($17.2k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

2 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 17:46:28

312.5¢$147

YESBUY2026-07-21 17:46:28

32.0¢$47

Iran military action against a gulf state on...?

9 open · 13 total · gamma+markets (9/13 open)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

closed · $68.9k

100.0%

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?

closed · $54.0k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xc8ab…6418	245	$19.0k	$-18.2k	13
0x05df…882d	151	$17.5k	$-8.2k	3
0x44c1…ebc1	51	$15.5k	$-4.7k	2
0x6dc7…2ff6	90	$13.3k

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