0x1f10b1f557ab254487c22a6b7cd4b4a3b14e561c0017bc6fc58bb81f306ad558
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?” trades at 46% YES on Polymarket with $175.1k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 45.5% · CLOB volume $175.1k · whales 24h net $6.6k (50 wallets) · 7d net $33.5k · 3/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
45.5%
Yes
Implied No
54.5%
No
Volume
$175.1k
CLOB
Traders
436
3,091 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
51.7% → 43.8% (-7.9pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$6.6k
Buy
$11.7k
Sell
$5.1k
Whales
50
Last 7 days
Net flow
$33.5k
Buy
$62.6k
Sell
$29.1k
Whales
130
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfbfd…0029 | $40.1k | $24.0k | $16.1k | $-8.0k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $27.4k | $27.4k | $0 | $-27.4k |
| 0x0c88…7c45 | $24.8k | $14.4k | $10.3k | $-4.1k |
| 0x2e3e…abea | $23.4k | $6.7k | $16.8k | $10.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfbfd…0029 | 756 | $101.5k | $-25.1k | 5 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 242 | $74.4k | $-74.4k | 5 |
| 0xd1ee…a8ae | 384 | $67.0k | $-15.3k | 5 |
| 0x0c88…7c45 | 229 | $40.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 10 total · Event board
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
closed · $165.8k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
closed · $139.0k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
closed · $75.9k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
closed · $41.9k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
closed · $37.4k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?
closed · $20.9k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.3% before 2027?
closed · $6.0k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
open · $175.1k
45.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
open · $90.1k
19.6%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
open · $85.2k
7.6%
| 0x5950…8c48 | $19.1k | $11.8k | $7.2k | $-4.6k |
| 0xb1ca…1705 | $9.2k | $984 | $8.2k | $7.2k |
| 0xff7c…b233 | $8.6k | $4.1k | $4.5k | $359 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $7.8k | $6.2k | $1.6k | $-4.6k |
| 0xbdcb…e811 | $6.5k | $4.0k | $2.5k | $-1.5k |
| 0x0a6d…1d0a | $6.5k | $6.4k | $43 | $-6.4k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $6.4k | $4.4k | $2.1k | $-2.3k |
| 0xd1ee…a8ae | $6.1k | $3.1k | $3.0k | $-187 |
| $-5.2k |
| 2 |
| 0x2e3e…abea | 148 | $40.4k | $12.8k | 4 |
| 0xff7c…b233 | 169 | $27.9k | $2.9k | 4 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 7 | $21.6k | $-5.7k | 2 |
| 0x5950…8c48 | 186 | $21.2k | $-4.2k | 2 |
| 0xe904…2d9f | 137 | $20.4k | $-4.9k | 4 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 225 | $19.4k | $-12.7k | 6 |