0x48480ff60b7cff52809bd2a60cf87879f474f9eb3036647e35e0c2362dfb74e7
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?” trades at 20% YES on Polymarket with $90.1k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 19.6% · CLOB volume $90.1k · whales 24h net $2.0k (38 wallets) · 7d net $24.2k · 3/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
19.6%
Yes
Implied No
80.5%
No
Volume
$90.1k
CLOB
Traders
295
1,774 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
21.7% → 19.0% (-2.7pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$2.0k
Buy
$3.3k
Sell
$1.4k
Whales
38
Last 7 days
Net flow
$24.2k
Buy
$52.2k
Sell
$28.0k
Whales
119
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x0c88…7c45 | $16.0k | $8.6k | $7.4k | $-1.2k |
| 0xfbfd…0029 | $14.2k | $9.0k | $5.2k | $-3.8k |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $10.0k | $10.0k | $0 | $-10.0k |
| 0x2e3e…abea | $8.0k | $2.1k | $5.9k | $3.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfbfd…0029 | 756 | $101.5k | $-25.1k | 5 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 242 | $74.4k | $-74.4k | 5 |
| 0xd1ee…a8ae | 384 | $67.0k | $-15.3k | 5 |
| 0x0c88…7c45 | 229 | $40.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
3 open · 10 total · Event board
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
closed · $165.8k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
closed · $139.0k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
closed · $75.9k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
closed · $41.9k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
closed · $37.4k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.4% before 2027?
closed · $20.9k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.3% before 2027?
closed · $6.0k
100.0%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
open · $175.1k
45.5%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
open · $90.1k
19.6%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
open · $85.2k
7.6%
| 0xd509…fc70 | $7.3k | $2.9k | $4.3k | $1.4k |
| 0x0a6d…1d0a | $5.4k | $5.4k | $25 | $-5.4k |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | $5.4k | $4.4k | $1.0k | $-3.4k |
| 0x8735…46e5 | $5.4k | $921 | $4.5k | $3.6k |
| 0xff7c…b233 | $4.9k | $2.4k | $2.5k | $96 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $4.8k | $3.4k | $1.4k | $-2.0k |
| 0x849c…4009 | $4.3k | $1.8k | $2.5k | $650 |
| 0x7994…c512 | $3.9k | $1.5k | $2.4k | $877 |
| $-5.2k |
| 2 |
| 0x2e3e…abea | 148 | $40.4k | $12.8k | 4 |
| 0xff7c…b233 | 169 | $27.9k | $2.9k | 4 |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | 7 | $21.6k | $-5.7k | 2 |
| 0x5950…8c48 | 186 | $21.2k | $-4.2k | 2 |
| 0xe904…2d9f | 137 | $20.4k | $-4.9k | 4 |
| 0xc602…7fc1 | 225 | $19.4k | $-12.7k | 6 |