Home/Market/0x25e4d8…c5112a

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?Active 60 days left

Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

0x25e4d8c492f2b24d8f720c9bd7480e541613405d6d13598c51f36f214ec5112a

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 14.0% · CLOB volume $40.4k · whales 24h net $928 (7 wallets) · 7d net $6.0k · 2/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

14.0%

Yes

Implied No

86.0%

Volume

$40.4k

CLOB

Traders

129

521 trades

Yes 14.0%No 86.0%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$928

Buy

$1.9k

Sell

$925

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$6.0k

Buy

$10.4k

Sell

$4.4k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($928)
•7d whale net still positive ($6.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 14.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($40.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-01 19:14:35

88.0¢$1

YESBUY2026-08-01 19:14:35

12.0¢$0

NOBUY2026-08-01 13:33:09

117.6¢$699

NOBUY2026-08-01 13:33:09

666.7¢$686

NOBUY2026-08-01 13:33:09

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xc932…e6a5	$4.5k	$2.4k	$2.1k	$-259
0x8f69…7df1	$2.1k	$2.1k	$0	$-2.1k
0xb615…73cf	$1.8k	$921	$919	$-2
0x8e4f…4594	$1.8k	$1.5k	$300	$-1.2k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xc932…e6a5	266	$65.3k	$-23.9k	2
0xa0b6…3961	176	$19.3k	$2.4k	2
0xc93c…52f1	48	$17.7k	$-7.3k	1
0x6b0e…e3ea	360	$13.7k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.

Explore traders Whale feed API