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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Active 151 days left

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $2.10M · whales 24h net $260 (5 wallets) · 7d net $22.0k · 1/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

5.5%

Yes

Implied No

94.5%

Volume

$2.10M

CLOB

Traders

1,836

15,420 trades

Yes 5.5%No 94.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$260

Buy

$505

Sell

$244

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$22.0k

Buy

$42.1k

Sell

$20.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($260)
•7d whale net still positive ($22.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 5.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-01 12:59:41

106.4¢$25

NOBUY2026-08-01 12:59:41

94.0¢$24

NOBUY2026-08-01 08:33:54

106.4¢$27

NOBUY2026-08-01 08:33:54

94.0¢$26

NOBUY2026-08-01 02:59:27

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xc9dc…9026	$68.9k	$45.8k	$23.1k	$-22.8k
0x8afa…adb6	$59.2k	$53.2k	$5.9k	$-47.3k
0x485a…21cb	$50.0k	$3.5k	$46.5k	$43.0k
0x24c8…23e1	$25.8k	$1.6k	$24.2k	$22.7k

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xed10…d2e5	119	$134.5k	$-50.5k	2
0xc9dc…9026	211	$127.9k	$-41.8k	2
0x6ede…97a2	94	$62.8k	$-57.1k	1
0x8afa…adb6	212	$59.2k

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