0x3a2bbd8defe7f688106ed3d18ce823181d86204f50504c5cfe77342ab826b37f
As of Sep 23, 2026, “Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?” trades at 24% YES on Polymarket with $92.5k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 24.1% · CLOB volume $92.5k · whales 24h net $1.4k (21 wallets) · 7d net $11.5k · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
24.1%
Yes
Implied No
75.9%
No
Volume
$92.5k
CLOB
Traders
249
1,806 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
24.0% → 23.9% (-0.1pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$1.4k
Buy
$4.7k
Sell
$3.3k
Whales
21
Last 7 days
Net flow
$11.5k
Buy
$28.6k
Sell
$17.1k
Whales
106
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x690b…bd2c | $19.0k | $18.9k | $108 | $-18.7k |
| 0x05f6…25a1 | $18.3k | $1.2k | $17.1k | $15.9k |
| 0xd32f…8387 | $9.6k | $4.6k | $5.0k | $477 |
| 0xb635…f0fd | $5.9k | $4.0k | $1.9k | $-2.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | 289 | $42.3k | $-9.3k | 3 |
| 0xbe89…b88c | 163 | $38.4k | $-2.4k | 4 |
| 0x80a4…22cc | 104 | $30.8k | $-14.7k | 2 |
| 0xf6ea…0a00 | 263 | $29.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
open · $121.2k
63.0%
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
open · $92.5k
24.1%
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
open · $170.7k
13.5%
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
open · $41.6k
1.1%
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
open · $38.8k
0.6%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
closed · $140.4k
0.0%
| 0x122c…fbed | $5.6k | $3.5k | $2.1k | $-1.5k |
| 0x832b…5c91 | $5.6k | $5.3k | $277 | $-5.1k |
| 0xa4b3…87b8 | $3.7k | $744 | $2.9k | $2.2k |
| 0xd0f1…6712 | $3.0k | $2.8k | $164 | $-2.7k |
| 0x0380…073d | $2.8k | $2.7k | $123 | $-2.6k |
| 0x9178…a2b2 | $2.8k | $2.1k | $672 | $-1.5k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $2.1k | $1.9k | $280 | $-1.6k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.9k | $1.9k | $0 | $-1.9k |
| $5.0k |
| 6 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 345 | $24.0k | $-12.2k | 6 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 241 | $23.2k | $-5.9k | 4 |
| 0xa4b3…87b8 | 102 | $21.8k | $-970 | 5 |
| 0x05f6…25a1 | 19 | $19.4k | $17.0k | 2 |
| 0x690b…bd2c | 16 | $19.0k | $-18.7k | 1 |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | 182 | $17.8k | $-2.8k | 3 |