0x9db8905bffc0df478b336591504245614c631976329df65efd7609f32167a693
As of Sep 23, 2026, “Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?” trades at 14% YES on Polymarket with $170.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 13.5% · CLOB volume $170.7k · whales 24h net $11.8k (26 wallets) · 7d net $72.8k · 5/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
13.5%
Yes
Implied No
86.5%
No
Volume
$170.7k
CLOB
Traders
383
2,914 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
16.0% → 14.0% (-2.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$11.8k
Buy
$15.8k
Sell
$3.9k
Whales
26
Last 7 days
Net flow
$72.8k
Buy
$117.2k
Sell
$44.4k
Whales
130
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x80a4…22cc | $29.1k | $21.7k | $7.4k | $-14.3k |
| 0xbe89…b88c | $25.5k | $12.2k | $13.4k | $1.2k |
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | $24.7k | $16.7k | $8.1k | $-8.6k |
| 0x5287…3a16 | $14.0k | $12.3k | $1.7k | $-10.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | 289 | $42.3k | $-9.3k | 3 |
| 0xbe89…b88c | 163 | $38.4k | $-2.4k | 4 |
| 0x80a4…22cc | 104 | $30.8k | $-14.7k | 2 |
| 0xf6ea…0a00 | 263 | $29.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
5 open · 6 total · Event board
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
open · $121.2k
63.0%
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
open · $92.5k
24.1%
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
open · $170.7k
13.5%
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
open · $41.6k
1.1%
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
open · $38.8k
0.6%
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
closed · $140.4k
0.0%
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $12.3k | $8.5k | $3.8k | $-4.7k |
| 0xa4b3…87b8 | $10.2k | $8.3k | $1.9k | $-6.5k |
| 0x3a8a…7699 | $9.9k | $8.4k | $1.5k | $-6.8k |
| 0x122c…fbed | $8.5k | $5.8k | $2.7k | $-3.1k |
| 0x1359…092e | $8.3k | $5.3k | $3.0k | $-2.3k |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | $6.6k | $3.4k | $3.2k | $-183 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $5.5k | $5.5k | $0 | $-5.5k |
| 0x76db…6987 | $5.0k | $2.3k | $2.7k | $363 |
| $5.0k |
| 6 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 345 | $24.0k | $-12.2k | 6 |
| 0x122c…fbed | 241 | $23.2k | $-5.9k | 4 |
| 0xa4b3…87b8 | 102 | $21.8k | $-970 | 5 |
| 0x05f6…25a1 | 19 | $19.4k | $17.0k | 2 |
| 0x690b…bd2c | 16 | $19.0k | $-18.7k | 1 |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | 182 | $17.8k | $-2.8k | 3 |
