Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?

0x40b58ffad74d4574627026c0a537b098814385c8942bf89812f9804517346e5c

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 10.5% · CLOB volume $510 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · 10/14 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

10.5%

Yes

Implied No

89.5%

Volume

$510

CLOB

Traders

54 trades

Yes 10.5%No 89.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 10.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($510) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

16 shown

—BUY2026-06-30 17:53:28

0.4¢$0

NOBUY2026-06-30 17:53:28

16666.7¢$10

NOBUY2026-06-30 17:53:28

33333.3¢$6

NOBUY2026-06-30 17:53:28

99.7¢$10

NOBUY2026-06-30 17:53:28

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x2b62…438c	$45	$40	$5	$-35
0x0238…83aa	$31	$0	$31	$30
0x168f…9e00	$23	$20	$3	$-17
0x11b9…d361	$20	$20	$0	$-20

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x993f…3ee3	46	$3.9k	$-2.1k	3
0x8c78…13ed	6	$2.2k	$-41	1
0xcf07…c770	10	$2.0k	$1.0k	2
0x7d26…a7d1	30	$2.0k

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