0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” trades at 16% YES on Polymarket with $65.27M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 15.5% · CLOB volume $65.27M · whales 24h net $120.8k (105 wallets) · 7d net $508.1k · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
15.5%
Yes
Implied No
84.5%
No
Volume
$65.27M
CLOB
Traders
18,915
286,524 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
14.0% → 15.0% (+1.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$120.8k
Buy
$325.1k
Sell
$204.3k
Whales
105
Last 7 days
Net flow
$508.1k
Buy
$1.11M
Sell
$604.3k
Whales
370
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x696d…f89d | $2.97M | $1.64M | $1.33M | $-310.2k |
| 0xe234…304a | $1.56M | $861.5k | $695.4k | $-166.1k |
| 0xad96…d498 | $1.44M | $831.6k | $609.4k | $-222.2k |
| 0x35bb…009b | $1.43M | $976.8k | $454.2k | $-522.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x696d…f89d | 2,250 | $2.97M | $-310.2k | 1 |
| 0xe234…304a | 982 | $1.56M | $-166.1k | 1 |
| 0xad96…d498 | 116 | $1.44M | $-222.2k | 1 |
| 0x35bb…009b | 879 | $1.43M |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
1 open · 1 total
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
open · $65.27M
15.5%
| 0xdf17…97d1 | $1.36M | $736.2k | $621.1k | $-115.1k |
| 0x44c1…ebc1 | $819.2k | $446.4k | $372.8k | $-73.7k |
| 0x9d84…1344 | $807.3k | $713.7k | $93.5k | $-620.2k |
| 0x996a…e3cc | $803.4k | $511.6k | $291.7k | $-219.9k |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | $714.5k | $589.7k | $124.9k | $-464.8k |
| 0x7447…a16d | $703.7k | $422.6k | $281.1k | $-141.5k |
| 0x9592…a7b8 | $697.5k | $380.9k | $316.6k | $-64.3k |
| 0x93fb…3e4a | $669.0k | $311.8k | $357.2k | $45.5k |
| $-522.6k |
| 1 |
| 0xdf17…97d1 | 1,200 | $1.36M | $-115.2k | 1 |
| 0x44c1…ebc1 | 25 | $819.2k | $-73.7k | 1 |
| 0x9d84…1344 | 1,825 | $807.3k | $-620.2k | 1 |
| 0x996a…e3cc | 204 | $803.4k | $-219.9k | 1 |
| 0x9efd…ad00 | 90 | $714.5k | $-464.8k | 1 |
| 0x7447…a16d | 703 | $703.7k | $-141.5k | 1 |
