0x6397f084bcee3390e92b0a4f8d0f1fa23ddabad1668c4a6783f5643564f646d6
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?” trades at 4% YES on Polymarket with $1.16M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 4.3% · CLOB volume $1.16M · whales 24h net $68 (11 wallets) · 7d net $3.3k · 26/32 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
4.3%
Yes
Implied No
95.7%
No
Volume
$1.16M
CLOB
Traders
2,069
13,495 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
4.2% → 4.0% (-0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$68
Buy
$104
Sell
$36
Whales
11
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.3k
Buy
$5.1k
Sell
$1.8k
Whales
73
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9449…d829 | $61.3k | $26.2k | $35.1k | $8.9k |
| 0x21e2…8893 | $59.8k | $47.4k | $12.4k | $-35.1k |
| 0x6992…6c1d | $5.5k | $3.3k | $2.2k | $-1.1k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $5.5k | $4.0k | $1.5k | $-2.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9449…d829 | 74 | $466.6k | $63.0k | 9 |
| 0x21e2…8893 | 45 | $461.5k | $-320.5k | 9 |
| 0xb97d…3f97 | 49 | $313.0k | $-313 | 1 |
| 0xf39d…a1b5 | 46 | $302.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
26 open · 32 total · Event board
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $6.48M
85.2%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.16M
4.5%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $680.0k
2.9%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $2.32M
1.3%
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.13M
1.1%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $948.3k
0.8%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.02M
0.4%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $921.9k
0.4%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $780.5k
0.4%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.43M
0.4%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $834.8k
0.4%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $441.8k
0.3%
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $546.7k
0.2%
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $5.21M
0.1%
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $3.36M
0.1%
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $3.16M
0.1%
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $859.0k
0.1%
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $440.8k
0.1%
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $406.3k
0.1%
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $397.4k
0.1%
| 0x13fa…954c | $4.3k | $4.3k | $58 | $-4.2k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $3.4k | $3.3k | $9 | $-3.3k |
| 0xaf85…86e1 | $2.7k | $2.4k | $392 | $-2.0k |
| 0x7841…7db6 | $2.4k | $123 | $2.3k | $2.1k |
| 0x904d…7af2 | $2.3k | $136 | $2.2k | $2.1k |
| 0x75f6…75c7 | $2.2k | $1.0k | $1.1k | $77 |
| 0xf42b…ed5b | $1.7k | $767 | $943 | $176 |
| 0x121d…832a | $1.7k | $396 | $1.3k | $875 |
| $-302 |
| 1 |
| 0x8940…d15a | 42 | $269.9k | $-270 | 1 |
| 0x9e35…1121 | 43 | $269.5k | $-269 | 1 |
| 0x43e0…2fff | 47 | $266.6k | $56 | 1 |
| 0x213f…1f02 | 96 | $261.9k | $-262 | 1 |
| 0x27c1…639d | 122 | $261.9k | $-262 | 1 |
| 0x9765…05e3 | 40 | $261.9k | $-262 | 1 |
