0xa1b6ebba4e86fe9bfb2c206dba71be111d2e1047d7b74125eb223c1b3da7ebd6
As of Sep 10, 2026, “Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?” trades at 1% YES on Polymarket with $2.32M total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 1.3% · CLOB volume $2.32M · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $1.1k · 26/32 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.3%
Yes
Implied No
98.7%
No
Volume
$2.32M
CLOB
Traders
9,363
36,079 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1.1k
Buy
$1.6k
Sell
$434
Whales
15
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9449…d829 | $58.4k | $23.8k | $34.6k | $10.8k |
| 0x21e2…8893 | $57.9k | $46.2k | $11.7k | $-34.6k |
| 0x13fa…954c | $5.0k | $4.3k | $703 | $-3.6k |
| 0xc03c…50af | $4.9k | $4.0k | $819 | $-3.2k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9449…d829 | 74 | $466.6k | $63.0k | 9 |
| 0x21e2…8893 | 45 | $461.5k | $-320.5k | 9 |
| 0xb97d…3f97 | 49 | $313.0k | $-313 | 1 |
| 0xf39d…a1b5 | 46 | $302.2k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
26 open · 32 total · Event board
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $6.48M
85.2%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.16M
4.3%
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $680.0k
2.9%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $2.32M
1.3%
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.13M
1.1%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $948.3k
0.8%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.02M
0.4%
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $921.9k
0.4%
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $780.5k
0.4%
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $1.43M
0.4%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $834.8k
0.4%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $441.8k
0.3%
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $546.7k
0.2%
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $5.21M
0.1%
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $3.36M
0.1%
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $3.16M
0.1%
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $859.0k
0.1%
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $440.8k
0.1%
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $406.3k
0.1%
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
open · $397.4k
0.1%
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $3.7k | $3.7k | $0 | $-3.7k |
| 0xc021…1fa8 | $3.4k | $87 | $3.3k | $3.2k |
| 0x1299…6277 | $2.8k | $204 | $2.6k | $2.4k |
| 0xbefa…300d | $2.3k | $2.3k | $0 | $-2.3k |
| 0xf5e8…9fbd | $1.2k | $1.2k | $0 | $-1.2k |
| 0x7171…7af9 | $1.2k | $1.2k | $0 | $-1.2k |
| 0x5eda…92a7 | $1.2k | $930 | $275 | $-654 |
| 0x8d88…1e28 | $1.2k | $1.1k | $50 | $-1.1k |
| $-302 |
| 1 |
| 0x8940…d15a | 42 | $269.9k | $-270 | 1 |
| 0x9e35…1121 | 43 | $269.5k | $-269 | 1 |
| 0x43e0…2fff | 47 | $266.6k | $56 | 1 |
| 0x213f…1f02 | 96 | $261.9k | $-262 | 1 |
| 0x27c1…639d | 122 | $261.9k | $-262 | 1 |
| 0x9765…05e3 | 40 | $261.9k | $-262 | 1 |
