Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?

0x74cc8e0f432f7e4ab1fc0b181b011e1f201c31cfa2a31c2ce8a44227717c57be

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 31.5% · CLOB volume $128.6k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $1.3k · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

31.5%

Yes

Implied No

68.5%

Volume

$128.6k

CLOB

Traders

330

1,685 trades

Yes 31.5%No 68.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$1.3k

Buy

$2.5k

Sell

$1.2k

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($1.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 31.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-03 17:03:08

322.6¢$30

YESBUY2026-08-03 17:03:08

31.0¢$7

YESBUY2026-08-03 17:03:08

31.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-08-01 17:40:44

322.6¢$6

YESBUY2026-08-01 17:40:44

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0xb7b3…9573	$8.8k	$5.5k	$3.3k	$-2.2k
0xc93c…52f1	$4.3k	$3.2k	$1.2k	$-2.0k
0x87fa…7464	$2.3k	$967	$1.3k	$358
0xcf07…c770	$949	$843	$106	$-737

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x6ae0…7483	99	$17.8k	$-6.2k	1
0xcf07…c770	106	$13.7k	$2.3k	8
0xb7b3…9573	51	$9.1k	$-2.4k	3
0xdd2d…84e6	19	$7.7k

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