Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?

0x888a55163fff73cb438f021364480062ed29f4b1b7aae712548bdcdc978fab2b

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 26.5% · CLOB volume $48.3k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $270 · 10/10 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

26.5%

Yes

Implied No

73.5%

Volume

$48.3k

CLOB

Traders

208

908 trades

Yes 26.5%No 73.5%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$270

Buy

$292

Sell

$22

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($270)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 26.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($48.3k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-31 02:02:38

384.6¢$37

NOBUY2026-07-31 02:02:38

135.1¢$37

NOBUY2026-07-31 02:02:32

370.4¢$37

YESBUY2026-07-31 02:02:32

27.0¢$10

NOBUY2026-07-31 02:02:29

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x95ba…089f	$2.4k	$600	$1.8k	$1.2k
0xd7e6…4f99	$974	$450	$524	$74
0x071f…87ce	$717	$717	$0	$-717
0xf3fa…7be3	$567	$290	$277	$-13

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x6ae0…7483	99	$17.8k	$-6.2k	1
0xcf07…c770	106	$13.7k	$2.3k	8
0xb7b3…9573	51	$9.1k	$-2.4k	3
0xdd2d…84e6	19	$7.7k

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