Multi-outcome · 10 open
Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $4.3k
59.5%
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open · $30.6k
59.0%
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $243.4k
53.0%
Base FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $262
46.0%
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
open · $77.3k
40.5%
Base FDV above $5B one day after launch?
open · $5.8k
35.0%
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
open · $128.6k
31.5%
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
open · $65.4k
28.5%
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
open · $48.3k
26.5%
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
open · $84.6k
19.0%
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