0x998847cb1fa27670394c912caccf642e06b93f849f08e604921362cc41357105
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?” trades at 13% YES on Polymarket with $23.4k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 12.5% · CLOB volume $23.4k · whales 24h net $625 (14 wallets) · 7d net $3.8k · 18/18 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
12.5%
Yes
Implied No
87.5%
No
Volume
$23.4k
CLOB
Traders
130
635 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
13.0% → 13.0% (+0.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$625
Buy
$802
Sell
$177
Whales
14
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.8k
Buy
$6.5k
Sell
$2.6k
Whales
34
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5a8e…b63a | $2.7k | $1.3k | $1.4k | $39 |
| 0xe5f5…9c9c | $2.2k | $1.1k | $1.0k | $-106 |
| 0x2a01…6397 | $1.8k | $1.8k | $0 | $-1.8k |
| 0xf294…7967 | $1.6k | $1.6k | $0 | $-1.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2106…4dea | 32 | $8.9k | $-8.9k | 13 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 195 | $8.9k | $-8.9k | 15 |
| 0x014c…820c | 65 | $6.8k | $1.5k | 5 |
| 0xe5f5…9c9c | 70 | $6.6k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
18 open · 18 total · Event board
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $15.7k
38.5%
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $41.4k
19.0%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $22.0k
16.5%
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $23.4k
12.5%
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.5k
5.5%
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $9.3k
4.2%
Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.5k
4.1%
Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.4k
1.6%
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.3k
1.3%
Will Jeremy Strong win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $6.9k
0.9%
Will Jaafar Jackson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.5k
0.5%
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $11.2k
0.4%
Will Sam Rockwell win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $5.7k
0.3%
Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.2k
0.1%
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $4.0k
0.1%
Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.7k
0.1%
Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $3.2k
0.1%
Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
open · $2.4k
0.1%
| 0x9d2f…3c47 | $1.6k | $200 | $1.4k | $1.2k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $1.0k | $1.0k | $0 | $-1.0k |
| 0x014c…820c | $991 | $184 | $807 | $623 |
| 0xc684…2228 | $960 | $503 | $457 | $-47 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $831 | $700 | $131 | $-568 |
| 0x2106…4dea | $800 | $800 | $0 | $-800 |
| 0x5f62…4f74 | $757 | $443 | $315 | $-128 |
| 0x38d6…d10a | $615 | $159 | $456 | $297 |
| $-771 |
| 3 |
| 0xf294…7967 | 157 | $5.2k | $-3.4k | 7 |
| 0xc684…2228 | 46 | $4.9k | $249 | 2 |
| 0x5a21…9318 | 57 | $4.7k | $-3.8k | 13 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | 158 | $3.9k | $-3.2k | 18 |
| 0x5f62…4f74 | 44 | $3.2k | $-55 | 4 |
| 0x6cc8…05b5 | 51 | $3.1k | $418 | 2 |
