0xb75fbc93387a18087b23b82da30754a75b9e90dfdb2f897ef0c55479c7688193
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $158.7k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.9% · CLOB volume $158.7k · whales 24h net $49 (8 wallets) · 7d net $2.6k · 9/9 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.9%
Yes
Implied No
98.0%
No
Volume
$158.7k
CLOB
Traders
190
1,094 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
1.6% → 0.9% (-0.8pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$49
Buy
$630
Sell
$581
Whales
8
Last 7 days
Net flow
$2.6k
Buy
$5.1k
Sell
$2.5k
Whales
33
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6e2c…b7f8 | $2.2k | $1.4k | $760 | $-689 |
| 0x6a67…df6f | $1.7k | $1.5k | $228 | $-1.3k |
| 0x292b…23ce | $694 | $379 | $315 | $-65 |
| 0x4ad4…1704 | $590 | $10 | $581 | $571 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x220d…7018 | 97 | $22.3k | $-9.7k | 5 |
| 0x6a67…df6f | 101 | $11.1k | $-9.3k | 8 |
| 0x5036…3aad | 39 | $8.9k | $-5.4k | 2 |
| 0xcf07…c770 | 73 | $8.1k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
9 open · 9 total · Event board
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $131.1k
4.3%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
open · $49.3k
3.3%
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open · $74.9k
2.3%
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $27.2k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open · $8.7k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
open · $12.0k
2.1%
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $158.7k
1.9%
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $14.5k
1.8%
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $75.0k
1.1%
| 0xb139…0ba0 | $350 | $209 | $141 | $-68 |
| 0x115a…9d44 | $283 | $283 | $0 | $-283 |
| 0x5533…51ba | $283 | $283 | $0 | $-283 |
| 0xcc36…d35d | $152 | $102 | $50 | $-52 |
| 0xf33e…0ab8 | $122 | $62 | $60 | $-2 |
| 0x0567…7aec | $105 | $70 | $35 | $-35 |
| 0x2a20…89d2 | $101 | $51 | $50 | $-1 |
| 0x7a5c…767b | $101 | $51 | $50 | $-1 |
| $-3.0k |
| 3 |
| 0xee03…6edb | 33 | $6.1k | $-3.1k | 4 |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8 | 36 | $5.5k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x8497…85f3 | 46 | $4.6k | $-1.2k | 3 |
| 0x014c…820c | 55 | $4.1k | $3.2k | 3 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 116 | $3.4k | $-1.5k | 8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 74 | $3.4k | $-2.9k | 7 |
