Multi-outcome · 9 open
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.
Probability ladder · open only
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
open · $110.4k
40.5%
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
open · $54.2k
32.5%
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?
open · $34.1k
20.0%
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
open · $51.4k
16.5%
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?
open · $17.4k
12.0%
Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
open · $4.6k
11.0%
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
open · $4.4k
7.5%
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
open · $154.5k
5.0%
Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
open · $8.8k
4.9%
Top event traders (30d)
- 0x5036…3aad1 mkts · $3.5k
- 0x6b44…be1e5 mkts · $3.3k
- 0xf22b…7eab5 mkts · $3.2k
- 0x014c…820c3 mkts · $2.7k
- 0xe2b4…3c5a4 mkts · $2.2k
- 0x7a96…3bd81 mkts · $1.6k
- 0xa1c2…cab01 mkts · $1.4k
- 0x6fbb…a41a4 mkts · $1.4k
- 0xc3fc…484a7 mkts · $1.2k
- 0x613a…21851 mkts · $1.1k
- 0x21ff…0d716 mkts · $1.1k
- 0x5845…f0af1 mkts · $985
- 0xd990…749e6 mkts · $960
- 0x151d…44971 mkts · $942
- 0x5739…b1804 mkts · $927