0xeeef274e198202339b090ad9c011dda1623332b678612edf0d812dc445992fc3
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?” trades at 3% YES on Polymarket with $2.3k total volume.
Bearish lean
Implied Yes 2.5% · CLOB volume $2.3k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $1 · 36/37 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
2.5%
Yes
Implied No
97.5%
No
Volume
$2.3k
CLOB
Traders
33
95 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$0
Buy
$0
Sell
$0
Whales
0
Last 7 days
Net flow
$1
Buy
$51
Sell
$50
Whales
2
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd12f…e85a | $481 | $468 | $13 | $-455 |
| 0xe947…ab96 | $321 | $303 | $18 | $-285 |
| 0x66a1…80d9 | $185 | $43 | $142 | $98 |
| 0x7b25…e4be | $158 | $136 | $21 | $-115 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3ed6…1ba2 | 75 | $59.0k | $-53.1k | 1 |
| 0x8f7b…2a5f | 86 | $41.1k | $28.1k | 1 |
| 0xe947…ab96 | 167 | $32.0k | $-23.2k | 18 |
| 0x0dde…94c3 | 388 | $23.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
36 open · 37 total · Event board
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $15.6k
91.0%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $5.0k
50.5%
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $16.5k
42.5%
Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
closed · $112
32.5%
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $132.0k
15.3%
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.3k
6.8%
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $3.6k
6.5%
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $12.7k
6.3%
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.3k
6.3%
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $6.3k
5.2%
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.4k
5.1%
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $23.5k
5.0%
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.9k
5.0%
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.1k
5.0%
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $5.9k
4.7%
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $6.0k
4.5%
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.1k
4.4%
Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $731
4.4%
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $4.3k
4.1%
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
open · $2.8k
4.1%
| 0xf33e…0ab8 | $110 | $106 | $5 | $-101 |
| 0x63ca…4bdf | $92 | $45 | $47 | $2 |
| 0x321e…9292 | $78 | $74 | $4 | $-70 |
| 0xa667…ceb3 | $43 | $41 | $2 | $-39 |
| 0x510f…a43c | $33 | $33 | $0 | $-33 |
| 0xa815…9cbe | $26 | $26 | $0 | $-26 |
| 0xf2cf…464b | $19 | $19 | $0 | $-19 |
| 0xf66c…4ab1 | $13 | $13 | $0 | $-13 |
| $-16.4k |
| 15 |
| 0x970a…7016 | 30 | $14.0k | $8.0k | 1 |
| 0x66a1…80d9 | 688 | $10.5k | $-1.7k | 30 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 381 | $9.7k | $-4.4k | 26 |
| 0xd12f…e85a | 125 | $9.5k | $-2.9k | 11 |
| 0xa2e0…fd91 | 167 | $7.6k | $-2.6k | 13 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 116 | $6.7k | $-6.7k | 16 |
