0xf4aff06686ee874668335fe94999e249fdf4de02a031afc9ee791a911b0e8717
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?” trades at 25% YES on Polymarket with $68.6k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 24.5% · CLOB volume $68.6k · whales 24h net $3.6k (49 wallets) · 7d net $3.9k · 2/4 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
24.5%
Yes
Implied No
75.5%
No
Volume
$68.6k
CLOB
Traders
343
1,644 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
60.0% → 24.0% (-36.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$3.6k
Buy
$8.8k
Sell
$5.2k
Whales
49
Last 7 days
Net flow
$3.9k
Buy
$10.3k
Sell
$6.4k
Whales
54
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9578…f066 | $10.7k | $5.1k | $5.6k | $511 |
| 0x6a3f…3a82 | $7.5k | $3.1k | $4.5k | $1.4k |
| 0xc004…c095 | $7.2k | $3.5k | $3.7k | $282 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | $6.7k | $6.7k | $0 | $-6.7k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb77…4e6b | 51 | $16.2k | $-5.4k | 2 |
| 0x9578…f066 | 59 | $10.7k | $511 | 1 |
| 0x82e9…b34c | 20 | $9.0k | $-9.0k | 1 |
| 0x6a3f…3a82 | 96 | $7.5k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
2 open · 4 total · Event board
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
closed · $49.2k
100.0%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 10 AI models by December 31?
closed · $50.1k
100.0%
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
open · $68.6k
24.5%
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
open · $103.4k
7.5%
| 0xeb77…4e6b | $3.3k | $2.0k | $1.3k | $-685 |
| 0xefde…783d | $3.2k | $2.0k | $1.2k | $-752 |
| 0x4c4e…297b | $1.7k | $814 | $871 | $57 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $1.6k | $1.4k | $210 | $-1.2k |
| 0x0c18…a04c | $1.6k | $750 | $842 | $92 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | $1.2k | $759 | $437 | $-321 |
| 0x7803…9e91 | $1.1k | $1.1k | $0 | $-1.1k |
| 0x4959…a6f5 | $1.1k | $977 | $85 | $-892 |
| $1.4k |
| 1 |
| 0xc004…c095 | 64 | $7.2k | $282 | 1 |
| 0xc8ab…6418 | 55 | $7.0k | $-7.0k | 2 |
| 0x45ac…d2bb | 20 | $6.0k | $-495 | 2 |
| 0xe457…5ab3 | 40 | $4.3k | $-1.4k | 2 |
| 0xefde…783d | 11 | $3.2k | $-752 | 1 |
| 0x321e…9292 | 36 | $2.5k | $-791 | 2 |
