Multi-outcome · 15 open

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Volume $3.80MTraders 398Trades 56,193

Probability ladder of open child markets only. Closed / resolved outcomes are omitted. Binary events redirect to /market. Research only — Polydata never executes trades.

Probability ladder · open only

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $1.37M
32.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $530.7k
31.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $426.7k
15.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $201.7k
11.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $2.41M
5.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $63.8k
1.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $488.1k
1.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $60.6k
0.8%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $171.8k
0.7%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $145.5k
0.7%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $141.5k
0.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $85.4k
0.5%

Probability ladder · open only

Top event traders (30d)