0x16dd5e4c4bfa3f3095c3ff0def4bed556eba411e3cdbf7b463b3b9a74c1d93a4
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?” trades at 68% YES on Polymarket with $445.8k total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 67.9% · CLOB volume $445.8k · whales 24h net $4 (2 wallets) · 7d net $836 · 15/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
67.9%
Yes
Implied No
32.1%
No
Volume
$445.8k
CLOB
Traders
627
3,647 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$4
Buy
$4
Sell
$0
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$836
Buy
$1.3k
Sell
$499
Whales
24
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x54e1…9d5a | $7.1k | $6.3k | $837 | $-5.5k |
| 0x0b56…3f6b | $4.7k | $2.7k | $2.0k | $-753 |
| 0xb0fc…ce0b | $4.6k | $1.4k | $3.2k | $1.8k |
| 0x2ed8…93d4 | $3.0k | $976 | $2.0k | $1.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | 11 | $13.3k | $-13.2k | 3 |
| 0xdea1…3d9f | 22 | $11.6k | $-11.5k | 5 |
| 0x54e1…9d5a | 170 | $11.4k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | 2,947 | $9.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
15 open · 15 total · Event board
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $445.8k
67.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $1.38M
17.8%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $2.42M
10.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $207.9k
1.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $539.4k
1.2%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $87.4k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $258.9k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $180.5k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.3k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $500.9k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $270.1k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $94.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $70.6k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $152.0k
0.2%
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $2.7k | $1.8k | $930 | $-866 |
| 0xa916…c6a3 | $1.6k | $1.6k | $0 | $-1.6k |
| 0x6056…c27c | $1.5k | $660 | $839 | $179 |
| 0x9bae…5d34 | $1.5k | $456 | $1.0k | $544 |
| 0xebab…cff5 | $1.0k | $1.0k | $0 | $-1.0k |
| 0xe372…eb38 | $667 | $471 | $196 | $-276 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | $632 | $565 | $66 | $-499 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $526 | $381 | $145 | $-237 |
| $-8.3k |
| 15 |
| 0x03d5…97af | 10 | $8.6k | $-8.5k | 2 |
| 0xee67…67a6 | 228 | $7.5k | $-6.5k | 6 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 26 | $6.3k | $455 | 3 |
| 0x97c6…6587 | 2,965 | $6.2k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x227b…76f9 | 2,446 | $6.0k | $-1.9k | 4 |
| 0xe283…3263 | 37 | $5.9k | $275 | 1 |
