0x3d20f26deb9b9cc7e24e5e06c10234a722d93bac095ce1105c59b44b503078d7
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?” trades at 10% YES on Polymarket with $2.42M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 10.1% · CLOB volume $2.42M · whales 24h net $8 (2 wallets) · 7d net $684 · 15/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
10.1%
Yes
Implied No
89.9%
No
Volume
$2.42M
CLOB
Traders
5,391
16,084 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$8
Buy
$70
Sell
$62
Whales
2
Last 7 days
Net flow
$684
Buy
$1.4k
Sell
$719
Whales
23
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x54e1…9d5a | $4.3k | $2.3k | $1.9k | $-406 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | $2.9k | $746 | $2.2k | $1.4k |
| 0x02a9…c4c8 | $2.6k | $1.4k | $1.2k | $-202 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | $1.6k | $1.3k | $270 | $-1.1k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | 11 | $13.3k | $-13.2k | 3 |
| 0xdea1…3d9f | 22 | $11.6k | $-11.5k | 5 |
| 0x54e1…9d5a | 170 | $11.4k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | 2,947 | $9.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
15 open · 15 total · Event board
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $445.8k
67.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $1.38M
17.8%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $2.42M
10.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $207.9k
1.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $539.4k
1.2%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $87.4k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $258.9k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $180.5k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.3k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $500.9k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $270.1k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $94.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $70.6k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $152.0k
0.2%
| 0x80a4…22cc | $1.1k | $705 | $370 | $-335 |
| 0x9e24…7e71 | $899 | $412 | $487 | $75 |
| 0xebab…cff5 | $790 | $790 | $0 | $-790 |
| 0xa916…c6a3 | $771 | $771 | $0 | $-771 |
| 0xcaff…e3ad | $668 | $136 | $532 | $396 |
| 0xe372…eb38 | $654 | $471 | $182 | $-289 |
| 0xad53…ef24 | $624 | $614 | $10 | $-604 |
| 0xeab6…d4c6 | $511 | $511 | $0 | $-511 |
| $-8.3k |
| 15 |
| 0x03d5…97af | 10 | $8.6k | $-8.5k | 2 |
| 0xee67…67a6 | 228 | $7.5k | $-6.5k | 6 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 26 | $6.3k | $455 | 3 |
| 0x97c6…6587 | 2,965 | $6.2k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x227b…76f9 | 2,446 | $6.0k | $-1.9k | 4 |
| 0xe283…3263 | 37 | $5.9k | $275 | 1 |
