0xfdf784c55879c70a90eab563dde386b6c5965e41be15fa74424f1db623282312
As of Oct 8, 2026, “Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?” trades at 2% YES on Polymarket with $207.9k total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 1.6% · CLOB volume $207.9k · whales 24h net $10 (3 wallets) · 7d net $274 · 15/15 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
1.6%
Yes
Implied No
98.4%
No
Volume
$207.9k
CLOB
Traders
385
3,131 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$10
Buy
$15
Sell
$5
Whales
3
Last 7 days
Net flow
$274
Buy
$346
Sell
$73
Whales
11
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x03d5…97af | $1.2k | $1.1k | $24 | $-1.1k |
| 0xbd4b…937c | $719 | $656 | $63 | $-593 |
| 0x6c8b…645c | $641 | $353 | $287 | $-66 |
| 0xa774…d9af | $274 | $269 | $5 | $-264 |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd600…b66e | 11 | $13.3k | $-13.2k | 3 |
| 0xdea1…3d9f | 22 | $11.6k | $-11.5k | 5 |
| 0x54e1…9d5a | 170 | $11.4k | $-5.9k | 2 |
| 0x4501…39d7 | 2,947 | $9.0k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
15 open · 15 total · Event board
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $445.8k
67.9%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $1.38M
17.8%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $2.42M
10.1%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $207.9k
1.6%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $539.4k
1.2%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $87.4k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $258.9k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $180.5k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.3k
0.4%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $154.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $500.9k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
open · $270.1k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
open · $94.4k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
open · $70.6k
0.3%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
open · $152.0k
0.2%
| 0xf83e…4663 | $269 | $167 | $102 | $-64 |
| 0x1387…55f8 | $237 | $211 | $27 | $-184 |
| 0x1d8c…757a | $232 | $162 | $70 | $-92 |
| 0xcced…226b | $159 | $159 | $0 | $-159 |
| 0x4f1d…8de2 | $159 | $119 | $39 | $-80 |
| 0x02f1…013e | $139 | $89 | $50 | $-39 |
| 0x764b…6bad | $129 | $125 | $4 | $-120 |
| 0x75d1…7a5f | $125 | $124 | $1 | $-123 |
| $-8.3k |
| 15 |
| 0x03d5…97af | 10 | $8.6k | $-8.5k | 2 |
| 0xee67…67a6 | 228 | $7.5k | $-6.5k | 6 |
| 0xa309…4cf2 | 26 | $6.3k | $455 | 3 |
| 0x97c6…6587 | 2,965 | $6.2k | $-2.0k | 4 |
| 0x227b…76f9 | 2,446 | $6.0k | $-1.9k | 4 |
| 0xe283…3263 | 37 | $5.9k | $275 | 1 |
